Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 0.038980 0.045341 0.051908 0.059157 0.066903 0.074900 0.083751
2025-11-09 0.028751 0.037886 0.047877 0.059449 0.072333 0.086108 0.101828
2025-11-16 0.020798 0.031101 0.043013 0.057399 0.073962 0.092148 0.113364
2025-11-23 0.015130 0.025874 0.039003 0.055480 0.075004 0.096912 0.122918
2025-11-30 0.012132 0.023390 0.037807 0.056456 0.079027 0.104750 0.135652
2025-12-07 0.009949 0.021589 0.037166 0.057853 0.083341 0.112757 0.148434
2025-12-14 0.008498 0.020558 0.037334 0.060102 0.088557 0.121719 0.162234
2025-12-21 0.006846 0.018928 0.036506 0.060940 0.091942 0.128441 0.173365
2025-12-28 0.006595 0.019487 0.038652 0.065583 0.099985 0.140667 0.190899
2026-01-04 0.004712 0.016922 0.036185 0.064041 0.100240 0.143524 0.197397
2026-01-11 0.003781 0.015853 0.035755 0.065110 0.103693 0.150163 0.208298
2026-01-18 0.002885 0.014619 0.034955 0.065592 0.106340 0.155783 0.217956
2026-01-25 0.002200 0.013699 0.034654 0.066856 0.110152 0.163036 0.229842
2026-02-01 0.001470 0.012375 0.033602 0.067024 0.112541 0.168570 0.239722
2026-02-08 0.000680 0.010262 0.030998 0.064820 0.111711 0.170043 0.244647
2026-02-15 0.000212 0.008433 0.028619 0.062771 0.110965 0.171533 0.249518
2026-02-22 0.000080 0.007822 0.028359 0.063811 0.114307 0.178103 0.260527
2026-03-01 0.000020 0.007404 0.028415 0.065299 0.118236 0.185400 0.272414
2026-03-08 0.000003 0.007301 0.029070 0.067694 0.123392 0.194243 0.286191
2026-03-15 NaN 0.006756 0.028772 0.068586 0.126478 0.200457 0.296745
2026-03-22 NaN 0.007439 0.031054 0.073519 0.135119 0.213731 0.315963
2026-03-29 NaN 0.006202 0.029180 0.071882 0.134695 0.215465 0.321010
2026-04-05 NaN 0.005815 0.029080 0.073017 0.138078 0.222033 0.331987